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Abstract Local empirical models of the F2 layer peak electron density (NmF2) are developed for 43 low‐ middle latitude ionosonde stations using auto‐scaled data from Lowell GIRO data center and manually scaled data from World Data Center for Ionosphere and Space Weather. Data coverage at these stations ranges from a few years to up to 6 decades. Flare Irradiance Spectral Model index version 2 (FISM2) and ap3 index are used to parametrize the solar extreme ultraviolet (EUV) flux and geomagnetic activity dependence of NmF2. Learning curves suggest that approximately 8 years of data coverage is required to constrain the solar activity dependence of NmF2. Output of local models altogether captures well known anomalies of the F2 ionospheric layer. Performance metrics demonstrate that the model parametrized using FISM2 has better accuracy than a similarly parametrized model with F10.7, as well as than the IRI‐2020 model. Skill score metrics indicate that the FISM2 based model outperforms F10.7 model at all solar activity levels. The improved accuracy of model with FISM2 over F10.7 is due to better representation of solar rotation by FISM2, and due to its performance at solar extremum. Application of singular spectrum analysis to model output reveals that solar rotation contributes to about 2%–3% of the variance in NmF2 data and FISM2 based model, while F10.7 based models overestimate the strength of solar rotation to be at 4%–7%. At solar extremum, both F10.7‐based model and IRI‐2020 tend to overestimate the NmF2 while FISM2 provides the most accurate prediction out of three. 

Abstract We expand the assessment study of modeling capabilities in the prediction of foF2 and hmF2 for the ionospheric climatology (Tsagouri et al., 2018,https://doi.org/10.1029/2018sw002035) by using updated empirical (IRI and MIT Empirical model) and physics‐based models (CTIPe, WACCM‐X, and TIE‐GCM) as well as the additional observations in the southern hemisphere. Monthly medians of foF2 and hmF2 are considered to evaluate the model performance for the entire year of 2012. For quantitative evaluation, we employ several metrics including the correlation coefficient (R), coefficient of determination (R²), root‐mean square error (RMSE), mean error (ME), and mean relative error (MRE). The linear regression analysis shows that the empirical models perform much better than physics‐based models for foF2 but to a lesser degree for hmF2. There are negligible hemispheric differences in the predictions from empirical models. All the physics‐based models show relatively good correlations with the observations for foF2 in the northern hemisphere compared to the southern hemisphere, but the hemispheric differences are small for hmF2. The results of the study indicate that recent versions of empirical models tend to perform better than old versions of the models, but this is not always true for physics‐based models. 

Abstract The South Asian summer monsoon strongly modulates regional temperature and humidity. While extreme dry heat peaks in the pre‐monsoon season, recent literature suggests that extreme humid heat can continue to build throughout the monsoon season. Here we explore the influence of monsoon onset and subseasonal precipitation variability on the occurrence of extreme wet bulb temperatures (Tw) across South Asia. We find that extreme Tw events often occur on rainy days during the monsoon season. However, the influence of precipitation on Tw varies with the background climatology of surface specific humidity. In climatologically drier areas, positive Tw anomalies tend to occur when precipitation increases due to either early onset or wet spells during the monsoon. In contrast, in climatologically humid areas, positive Tw anomalies occur during periods of suppressed precipitation, including both delayed onset and dry spells during the monsoon. 

Asymmetric synthesis of substituted 1,4 cyclohexadienes and cyclobutenes has received great attention in recent years. Strategies such as base metal catalyzed cycloaddition bypass the need of harsh reaction conditions which are often required for synthesis of such motifs. These strategies using base-metals as catalysts are also valuable in constructing substituted cyclic motifs from readily available and inexpensive materials such as dienes and alkynes. Such reactions can be cost effective and environmentally friendly. In past decade, low valent cobalt has shown promising reactivity in forming new C-C and C-X (e. g., X= Si, B, N) bonds in high stereoselectivity. Through our studies, we found that cationic cobalt(I) complexes can catalyze intermolecular cycloaddition reactions of alkyne and 1,3-dienes in regio-and enantioselective manner. We also discovered that the involvement of 4-pi electrons or 2-pi electrons of 1,3-dienes can be controlled by the judicious choice of ligands employed on cobalt leading to [4+2] and [2+2] cycloaddition products respectively in high regio- and stereoselectivity. This excellent selectivity complimented with moderate to good yields provided us with broadly applicable protocol for synthesis of diversely substituted enantiopure cyclic motifs with enantiomeric excesses upto 99%. The scope of this method has been expanded over simple aliphatic and aromatic 1,3-dienes and alkynes bearing various functional groups. The methodical development of this transformation along with the ligand effects and possible mechanisms will be discussed in detail. 

Asymmetric synthesis of substituted 1,4 cyclohexadienes and cyclobutenes has received great attention in recent years. Strategies such as base metal catalyzed cycloaddition bypass the need of harsh reaction conditions which are often required for synthesis of such motifs. These strategies using base-metals as catalysts are also valuable in constructing substituted cyclic motifs from readily available and inexpensive materials such as dienes and alkynes. Such reactions can be cost effective and environmentally friendly. In past decade, low valent cobalt has shown promising reactivity in forming new C-C and C-X (e. g., X= Si, B, N) bonds in high stereoselectivity. Through our studies, we found that cationic cobalt(I) complexes can catalyze intermolecular cycloaddition reactions of alkyne and 1,3-dienes in regio-and enantioselective manner. We also discovered that the involvement of 4 pi electrons or 2 pi electrons of 1,3-dienes can be controlled by the judicious choice of ligands employed on cobalt leading to [4+2] and [2+2] cycloaddition products respectively in high regio- and stereoselectivity. This excellent selectivity complimented with moderate to good yields provided us with broadly applicable protocol for synthesis of diversely substituted enantiopure cyclic motifs with enantiomeric excesses upto 99%. The scope of this method has been expanded over simple aliphatic and aromatic 1,3-dienes and alkynes bearing various functional groups. The methodical development of this transformation along with the ligand effects and possible mechanisms will be discussed in detail. 

From 1875 to 1878, concurrent multiyear droughts in Asia, Brazil, and Africa, referred to as the Great Drought, caused widespread crop failures, catalyzing the so-called Global Famine, which had fatalities exceeding 50 million people and long-lasting societal consequences. Observations, paleoclimate reconstructions, and climatemodel simulations are used 1) to demonstrate the severity and characterize the evolution of drought across different regions, and 2) to investigate the underlying mechanisms driving its multiyear persistence. Severe or record-setting droughts occurred on continents in both hemispheres and in multiple seasons, with the ‘‘Monsoon Asia’’ region being the hardest hit, experiencing the single most intense and the second most expansive drought in the last 800 years. The extreme severity, duration, and extent of this global event is associated with an extraordinary combination of preceding cool tropical Pacific conditions (1870–76), a record-breaking El Niño (1877–78), a record strong Indian Ocean dipole (1877), and record warm North Atlantic Ocean (1878) conditions. Composites of historical analogs and two sets of ensemble simulations—one forced with global sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and another forced with tropical Pacific SSTs—were used to distinguish the role of the extreme conditions in different ocean basins. While the drought in most regions was largely driven by the tropical Pacific SST conditions, an extreme positive phase of the Indian Ocean dipole and warm NorthAtlantic SSTs, both likely aided by the strong El Niño in 1877–78, intensified and prolonged droughts in Australia and Brazil, respectively, and extended the impact to northern and southeastern Africa. Climatic conditions that caused the Great Drought and Global Famine arose from natural variability, and their recurrence, with hydrological impacts intensified by global warming, could again potentially undermine global food security. 

Abstract We present the results of a search for gravitational-wave transients associated with core-collapse supernova SN 2023ixf, which was observed in the galaxy Messier 101 via optical emission on 2023 May 19, during the LIGO–Virgo–KAGRA 15th Engineering Run. We define a five-day on-source window during which an accompanying gravitational-wave signal may have occurred. No gravitational waves have been identified in data when at least two gravitational-wave observatories were operating, which covered ∼14% of this five-day window. We report the search detection efficiency for various possible gravitational-wave emission models. Considering the distance to M101 (6.7 Mpc), we derive constraints on the gravitational-wave emission mechanism of core-collapse supernovae across a broad frequency spectrum, ranging from 50 Hz to 2 kHz, where we assume the gravitational-wave emission occurred when coincident data are available in the on-source window. Considering an ellipsoid model for a rotating proto-neutron star, our search is sensitive to gravitational-wave energy 1 × 10⁻⁴M_⊙c²and luminosity 2.6 × 10⁻⁴M_⊙c²s⁻¹for a source emitting at 82 Hz. These constraints are around an order of magnitude more stringent than those obtained so far with gravitational-wave data. The constraint on the ellipticity of the proto-neutron star that is formed is as low as 1.08, at frequencies above 1200 Hz, surpassing past results. 

Abstract Continuous gravitational waves (CWs) emission from neutron stars carries information about their internal structure and equation of state, and it can provide tests of general relativity. We present a search for CWs from a set of 45 known pulsars in the first part of the fourth LIGO–Virgo–KAGRA observing run, known as O4a. We conducted a targeted search for each pulsar using three independent analysis methods considering single-harmonic and dual-harmonic emission models. We find no evidence of a CW signal in O4a data for both models and set upper limits on the signal amplitude and on the ellipticity, which quantifies the asymmetry in the neutron star mass distribution. For the single-harmonic emission model, 29 targets have the upper limit on the amplitude below the theoretical spin-down limit. The lowest upper limit on the amplitude is 6.4 × 10⁻²⁷for the young energetic pulsar J0537−6910, while the lowest constraint on the ellipticity is 8.8 × 10⁻⁹for the bright nearby millisecond pulsar J0437−4715. Additionally, for a subset of 16 targets, we performed a narrowband search that is more robust regarding the emission model, with no evidence of a signal. We also found no evidence of nonstandard polarizations as predicted by the Brans–Dicke theory. 

Abstract We present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO–Virgo–KAGRA network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received with low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum-likelihood Non-imaging Transient Reconstruction and Temporal Search pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15–350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10⁻³Hz, we compute the GW–BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers. 

Abstract The magnetar SGR 1935+2154 is the only known Galactic source of fast radio bursts (FRBs). FRBs from SGR 1935+2154 were first detected by the Canadian Hydrogen Intensity Mapping Experiment (CHIME)/FRB and the Survey for Transient Astronomical Radio Emission 2 in 2020 April, after the conclusion of the LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA Collaborations’ O3 observing run. Here, we analyze four periods of gravitational wave (GW) data from the GEO600 detector coincident with four periods of FRB activity detected by CHIME/FRB, as well as X-ray glitches and X-ray bursts detected by NICER and NuSTAR close to the time of one of the FRBs. We do not detect any significant GW emission from any of the events. Instead, using a short-duration GW search (for bursts ≤1 s) we derive 50% (90%) upper limits of 10⁴⁸(10⁴⁹) erg for GWs at 300 Hz and 10⁴⁹(10⁵⁰) erg at 2 kHz, and constrain the GW-to-radio energy ratio to ≤10¹⁴−10¹⁶. We also derive upper limits from a long-duration search for bursts with durations between 1 and 10 s. These represent the strictest upper limits on concurrent GW emission from FRBs.